2024-12-14 10:24:44
Ministry of Commerce: Innovate diversified consumption scenarios, expand service consumption, and actively develop the starting economy. On December 13, Wang Wentao, Party Secretary and Minister of the Ministry of Commerce, presided over a special meeting of the party group to convey the spirit of studying the Central Economic Work Conference, and study and deploy the implementation work. The meeting stressed that it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption. We will intensify efforts to expand the scope, implement the trade-in policy for consumer goods, innovate diversified consumption scenarios, expand service consumption, and actively develop the first-round economy. It is necessary to expand high-level opening to the outside world and stabilize foreign trade and foreign investment. We will expand independent opening and unilateral opening in an orderly manner, steadily expand institutional opening, and promote the free trade pilot zone to improve quality and efficiency and expand the reform mandate. Efforts should be made to stabilize trade in goods and actively develop service trade, green trade and digital trade. We will deepen the reform of foreign investment promotion system and mechanism, steadily push forward the opening of service industry, expand the pilot projects in the fields of telecommunications, medical care and education, and continue to build the brand of "Investing in China". Promote high-quality joint construction of the "Belt and Road", deepen and implement, and improve the overseas comprehensive service system.Increase the countercyclical adjustment of macro policies. A series of reform measures will be introduced next year. From the national development and reform work conference held by the National Development and Reform Commission, we learned that in order to fully implement the spirit of the Central Economic Work Conference, we will increase the countercyclical adjustment of macro policies next year, and solidly promote economic stability, structural improvement and development trend. The relevant person in charge of the National Development and Reform Commission said that a more active and promising macro policy will be implemented next year to enhance the consistency of macro policy orientation.Domestic black futures closed down at night, domestic commodity futures closed mixed at night, and the performance of energy and chemical products was divided. Crude oil rose by 0.83%, fuel oil rose by 0.69%, PTA rose by 0.29%, glass fell by 4.03%, soda ash fell by 2.73% and LPG fell by 1.28%. Black series fell across the board, coking coal fell by 2.05%, coke by 1.97%, rebar by 0.5%, hot rolled coil by 0.43%, iron ore by 0.19% and thermal coal by 0%. Most agricultural products fell, including beans by 1.01%, sugar by 0.9%, Zheng Mian by 0.62%, cotton yarn by 0.58% and rapeseed meal by 0.53%.
Bank of America: Investors poured into China stocks in recent weeks, and Bank of America strategists said that investors put money into China stocks again in the past week. In the week ending Wednesday, China equity funds received about $5.6 billion, the largest inflow in nine weeks, strategists such as Michael Hartnett quoted EPFR Global data as saying. He also believes that the first quarter of next year will be the entry point for non-US stocks. As investors have deployed a large number of positions for the rise in the yield of US dollars and US bonds, there is a risk of overshooting early next year. He believes that bonds, gold and international stocks are attractive under the assumption that persistent inflation forces the Fed to become more hawkish.ECB officials are expected to cut interest rates further. Villeroy supports the market view, and several ECB officials said that more interest rate cuts are coming. Francois Villeroy de Galhau, governor of the French central bank, said that investors' bets on a cumulative interest rate cut of more than 100 basis points seemed reasonable. "There will be more interest rate cuts next year, and many times," he said on Friday. "Although the central bank did not promise the specific interest rate trajectory in advance, it seems to be quite reassuring to predict the financial market". The interest rate swap market reflects a rate cut of about 120 basis points by the end of next year. According to informed sources, the European Central Bank plans to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year, and may also cut interest rates once in March.Analyst: Britain's economic contraction for the second consecutive month sounded the alarm. AJ Bell analyst Danni Hewson said in a report that one month's data can't tell the whole story, but when the British economy contracted for two consecutive months-just like September and October-it is worthy of attention. The last time the economy contracted for two consecutive months was during the first pandemic blockade in 2020. She said that the uncertainty before the government budget may lead individuals and businesses to avoid spending for fear of possible tax increases. Bars, restaurants and art industries were hit hard in October. Hewson said that such discretionary expenses can be easily cut. In addition, looking back over the past six months, except August, the economic activity in each month was flat or decreased.
Helping to build a new model of real estate development, the General Administration of Financial Supervision deployed key tasks. The General Administration of Financial Supervision said today (13th) that efforts should be made to prevent risks, strengthen supervision and promote development, and promote the sustained recovery of the economy, so as to provide more powerful financial support for the comprehensive completion of economic and social development goals and tasks. Effectively prevent and resolve risks in key areas. Continuously improve the quality and efficiency of financial supervision. Better serve the real economy and pick up. Promote the high-quality development of the banking and insurance industries.The Nasdaq 100 index rose 1% and the S&P 500 index rose 0.4%.In November, personal housing loans stabilized and rebounded. On December 13, the central bank released financial statistics for November 2024. The financial data was generally stable and maintained strong support for the real economy. It is noteworthy that the growth rate of household loans has been rising recently, mainly because personal loans have stabilized and rebounded. From the perspective of residents' departments, the short-term and medium-and long-term loans in the first 11 months increased by 1.29 trillion yuan and 453.8 billion yuan respectively, of which the medium-and long-term loans of residents increased by 66.9 billion yuan in November, increasing for two consecutive months. With the intensive introduction and effective implementation of a package of incremental policies, social expectations and market confidence are gradually picking up. Market experts generally predict that the effective financing demand in the market will be further improved, financial resources will flow more to major strategies, key areas and weak links, and financial support for the high-quality development of the real economy will be more powerful and effective. (21 Finance)
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14